2020 Report details for project: Lower Thames Crossing

Project name Lower Thames Crossing - there are 6 reports for this project: 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021
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Organisation DFT (D9) - see all reports for this organisation
Report year 2020 (data is from September 2019)
Category Infrastructure - see all reports for this category
Description: A new free-flowing road crossing of the Lower Thames east of Gravesend and Tilbury. It will improve network resilience and the performance of the existing crossings at Dartford enabling local regional and national economic growth.
DCA (RAG) Amber
DCA text: The IPA Delivery Confidence Assessment (DCA) rating at Q2 1920 (30th September 2019) was Amber, which has not changed since last year's Q2 1819 Amber, due primarily to the following factors; - The project schedule is extremely tight with multiple critical paths and constrained timescales to support a 2027 Open for Traffic (OfT) date. Further work is needed to validate elements of the schedule, particularly how schedule risk and opportunity is handled, and to ensure it is robust. - Further market engagement is required to validate some of the assumptions in the Commercial case, including the proposed commercial model. This engagement needs to target non-UK suppliers, verify the construction programme and validate the contracting strategy and procurement process - The concurrency of key dates for the procurement and DCO schedule are sensitive to one another. There is a risk around completing dialogue before close of DCO examination which is being considered as part of a review of the schedule Since the Q2 1920 (30th September 2019) Amber IPA DCA, the following non-project operating environment activities have impacted the original Q2 IPA DCA; - In March 2020 the Chancellor, as part of the Budget settlement, announced that the project would be fully publicly funded. It was previously announced in October 2018 that private funding would not be used to partly fund the project. Since the Q2 1920 (30th September 2019) Amber IPA DCA, the following primary project actions have impacted the original Q2 IPA DCA; - A baseline (cost, schedule & risk) review of the project was undertaken in late 2019, which was approved by DfT in December 2019. - Further ground investigation have been undertaken to feed into the development of the projects schedule and cost assumptions
Start date 2014-05-30
End date 2028-07-31
Schedule text The scheduled baseline project end date at Q2 1920 (30th September 2019) is 31/07/28, has not changed since last year's Q2 1819 date of 31/07/28, due primarily to the following factors; - Certainty of RIS 2 funding and confirmation of funding to replace that which was to be privately financed - Following the removal of the constraints imposed by being partly privately funded (including contract packaging) the project has updated, strengthened and externally assured our Commercial Procurement Strategy which de-risks the schedule. - The outcome of market engagement which will confirm if our assumptions regarding timescales and cost are realistic for the tunnelling work Since the Q2 1920 (30th September 2019) baseline project end date of 31/07/28, the following non-project operating environment activities have impacted the original Q2 baseline project end date; - The corona virus pandemic is impacting on project delivery. We have implemented business continuity plans and our IT platforms allow office staff to effectively work at home. However Covid-19 prevention measures are impacting on ground investigation and other early works. There are also indirect consequences on the schedule as a result of the effect on the construction market which are likely to affect the procurement process. - The project have introduced a baseline schedule range of December 2027 to November 2028. The likely project end date is 7 months after this to accommodate project close down activities. Since the Q2 1920 (30th September 2019) baseline project end date of 31/07/28, the following primary project actions have impacted the original Q2 baseline project end date; - A full review of the schedule is underway to validate the likely project timeline given a number of factors including the impact of Covid 19. The outcome of this work is expected in summer 2020. - As part of the review of the schedule we are considering the timing of the main works procurements as compared to the DCO examination and award dates. This is to derisk the procurement activity by providing sufficient certainty to bidders
Baseline £165.00m
Forecast £165.00m
Variance None%
Variance text: Budget variance less than 5%
Whole Life Cost £6,052.20m
WLCost text: The baseline Whole Life Cost at Q2 1920 (30th September 2019) is £6,052.20m, has increased on last year's Q2 1819 (£m) baseline Whole Life Cost, due primarily to the following factors; - The increase is due to the addition of portfolio risk to the previously approved cost (in line with HE policy) and an increase in non-recoverable VAT following the move from private to public finance for the link roads. Since Q2 1920 DfT has approved a further update to the Whole Life Cost and the latest approved position is £6,391m. Since the Q2 1920 (30th September 2019) £6,052.20m baseline Whole Life Cost, the following non-project operating environment activities have impacted the original baseline Q2 Whole Life Cost; - The delays caused by Covid19 will impact inflation Since the Q2 1920 (30th September 2019) £6,052.20m baseline Whole Life Cost, the following primary project actions have impacted the original Q2 baseline Whole Life Cost; - In line with Highways England Policy, portfolio risk has been added. This along with design changes (Removal of Tilbury Junction including Rest and Service Area including associated viaduct works) were submitted for approval to DfT in December 2019. - Since December 2019, we have made further design changes for safety and following consultation feedback. We have also updated the schedule to incorporate feedback from a number of independent reviews. These changes may increase the inflation included in the whole life cost.
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Notes2:
Sourcefile IPA_2020.csv

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