2020 Report details for project: East Coast Mainline Programme
| Project name | East Coast Mainline Programme - there are 3 reports for this project: 2019, 2020, 2021 |
|---|---|
| Google search | Google search on project name (opens in new window)  |
| Contracts | Contracts search (opens in new window) - under development |
| Organisation | DFT (D9) - see all reports for this organisation |
| Report year | 2020 (data is from September 2019) |
| Category | Infrastructure - see all reports for this category |
| Description: | Improving capacity and frequency of the services on the East Coast Mainline, increasing passenger seat capacity to major stations along the route, reducing journey times and improving the customer experience through the introduction of new trains. |
| DCA (RAG) | Amber |
| DCA text: | The IPA Delivery Confidence Assessment (DCA) rating at Q2 1920 (30th September 2019) was Amber, which has declined since last year's Q2 1819 Amber/Green, due primarily to the following factors; - Realisation of the Programme's benefits is dependent upon the East Coast franchise's introduction of InterCity Express Programme trains and the delivery of those trains has been delayed. The final train deliveries are now expected in Summer 2020. - The IPA anticipated that the digital signalling project between London and Peterborough would be incorporated into the East Coast Mainline Programme in November 2019, increasing the complexity of the Programme. Since the Q2 1920 (30th September 2019) Amber IPA DCA, the following non-project operating environment activities have impacted the original Q2 IPA DCA; - COVID-19 will delay the delivery of engineering works and is likely to mean the planned introduction of the new East Coast Mainline timetable in December 2021 is deferred. The prolongation and replanning of these activities will increase costs and delay the realisation of the Programme's benefits. - The digital signalling project will not be incorporated into the East Coast Main Line Programme but will be delivered as a separate scheme later in the 2020s. Since the Q2 1920 (30th September 2019) Amber IPA DCA, the following primary project actions have impacted the original Q2 IPA DCA; - As a result of COVID-19, engineering works to remodel the track layout King's Cross Station have been delayed. The project needs to replan the works. There is a risk that the introduction of the new East Coast timetable will need to be deferred from December 2021. - The storms experienced in early 2020, combined with the impact of COVID-19, mean that critical works on the Werrington Grade Separation project have been delayed, putting the entry into service date of this enhancement at risk. The project team needs to replan the works. |
| Start date | 2014-04-01 |
| End date | 2023-12-01 |
| Schedule text | The scheduled baseline project end date at Q2 1920 (30th September 2019) is 01/12/23, has not changed since last year's Q2 1819 date of 01/12/23, due primarily to the following factors; - At Q2 19/20, all of the projects that enable the new East Coast timetable to be introduced were forecast to be completed at least six months before the timetable change date. - A planning group has been established to develop the new East Coast timetable and at Q2 19/20 its work was proceeding to schedule. Since the Q2 1920 (30th September 2019) baseline project end date of 01/12/23, the following non-project operating environment activities have impacted the original Q2 baseline project end date; - Although COVID-19 will delay engineering works and is likely to delay the introduction of the new East Coast timetable, the Programme's end date is defined by the completion of power supply upgrades. These upgrades could still be completed in 2023, meaning the Programme's end date remains achievable. Since the Q2 1920 (30th September 2019) baseline project end date of 01/12/23, the following primary project actions have impacted the original Q2 baseline project end date; - The project needs to be replan the delivery of the engineering works delayed as a result of COVID-19 and confirm when the new East Coast Main Line timetable will be implemented. - The project is liaising with power distribution companies to confirm the timescales for completion of the new connections that are needed to the National Grid. |
| Baseline | £208.80m |
| Forecast | £166.70m |
| Variance | -0.20% |
| Variance text: | The 19/20 in-year baseline / forecast variance at Q2 1920 (30th September 2019) of -20%, is due primarily to the following factors; - Contracts for power supply upgrades were due to be awarded in August 2019 but this was delayed until 2020 because the tender prices received were higher than expected and further contract negotiations were needed. - The 19/20 in-year forecast underspend would have been greater than 20% but the Stevenage turnback project has been accelerated, bringing forward those costs from 20/21. Since the Q2 1920 (30th September 2019) 19/20 in-year baseline / forecast variance of -20%, the following non-project operating environment activities have impacted the original Q2 19/20 in-year baseline / forecast variance; - The variance has not been affected by non-project operating environment activities. Since the Q2 1920 (30th September 2019) 19/20 in-year baseline / forecast variance of -20%, the following primary project actions have impacted the original Q2 19/20 in-year variance; - Since Q2, project team revisions to forecast costs have reduced the Programme-level variance for the year to an underspend of 17%. - Funding was approved in December 2019 to enable power supply upgrade enabling works to start ahead of full contract award and reduce the in-year underspend. |
| Whole Life Cost | £1,040.40m |
| WLCost text: | The baseline Whole Life Cost at Q2 1920 (30th September 2019) is £1,040.40m, has increased by £0.03m since last year's Q2 1819 (£m) baseline Whole Life Cost of £1,040.37m, due primarily to the following factors; - The baseline Whole Life Cost for the Programme has not changed but the figure reported at Q2 1920 was rounded to the nearest £100k. - The cost of the power supply upgrades between Doncaster and York has not been finalised due to ongoing contract negotiations with suppliers. When these costs have been confirmed, the baseline Whole Life Cost for the Programme will be updated. Since the Q2 1920 (30th September 2019) £1,040.40m baseline Whole Life Cost, the following non-project operating environment activities have impacted the original baseline Q2 Whole Life Cost; - COVID-19 will delay the delivery of projects and introduction of new timetable. The prolongation and replanning of works is expected to increase costs and mean the benefits of the Programme are introduced later than planned. The Programme will need to be re-baselined when the implications of the virus have been fully assessed. Since the Q2 1920 (30th September 2019) £1,040.40m baseline Whole Life Cost, the following primary project actions have impacted the original Q2 baseline Whole Life Cost; - Network Rail needs to quantify the cost implications of the COVID-19 delays on each project. - The total cost of the East Coast Main Line power supply upgrades is being finalised with the supply chain. |
| Notes1: | |
| Notes2: | |
| Sourcefile | IPA_2020.csv |
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Acknowledgement: GMPP data has been re-used under the Open Government Licence.